This well-written piece, authored by one of the pioneers in the computing field, provides insights into some of the important contributions microcomputers have made to our lives. A brief summary of what computers can and cannot do is followed by short excerpts on the effect of computers on our work life and our home life. In his Conclusion, the author underlines his belief (and mine) that we’ve only begun to see the impact of microcomputers. Their power will increase a million-fold in the next decade. So the crucial question is not how these systems might perform, but rather, “What should they do?” The best answer to that question is “What does society want?” The author’s answer is that if he could return in 100 years he could answer this question, but now he can’t. I can’t either, but I think it’s incumbent on knowledgeable and experienced computer professionals--the author included--to try.
When one has a sense of the past--as the author obviously does--as well as a feeling for the present, then speculating on the future impact of computers on society is a necessary next step. While this paper is a must for anyone concerned about the microcomputer’s impact on society (as I believe computer professionals must be), then an expert’s vision is needed. While this paper offers several personal and important insights, it is unfortunate that the visionary aspect is missing--even with the author’s belief that he is not properly equipped to deliver such an image. Anyone who can draw such an insightful analogy to a kaleidoscope can certainly extend his view beyond this image to the colorful patterns of a space age graphical montage. Speaking for myself and, I expect, many others, I hope Lucky will do so in a follow-up paper in the near future. In the meantime, this paper, as well as others in this proceedings, provides an important overview of current thinking vis-a-vis computers and their impact on society.